Monday, November 8, 2010

The Cell phone Effect - What it means for Election 2010

According to studies by the Pew Research Center, there is a "cell phone effect" that should prompt voters to question the validity of early Election 2010 outcomes. According to the New York Times, land lines are out of style; at least 25 percent of adults use cellular technology exclusively. As numerous poll individuals do not call cell phones, Pew believes that the outcomes could be skewed by as much as four points.

Cell phone Effect helps out democrats

Cell phone-only voters are typically younger adults who are Caucasian and live in urban areas. They also made the term "cell phone effect" important, Pew Research reports. Democrats tend to be within these demographics too. There might be a difference right now with Democrats. They can be four points higher than expected.

Is this just a prejudice though?

Republicans were ahead about 9.3 points, based on polls done without cell phones, Pew explains. The Cell phone Effect may be part of that while the anger individuals have with unemployment and the housing industry with the Obama administration might be there too. Sometimes cell phones are integrated. In this case, the swing is not there as much which makes individuals believe that it is more about the Cell phone Effect than anything else. Pew plans to analyze Election 2010 data more fully after all results are verified.

The bias among those probably to vote on things

Pew Research explains that those most likely to vote in Election 2010 have a prejudice. There had been one poll that only used land line/cell phones. A seven point Republican lead had been shown there. Out of those people, half supported candidates for the GOP. One more 43 percent supported the candidates which were Democrats. Pew Research explains that a 12 point lead for republicans was shown in a land-line only poll.

Citations

New York Times

fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/01/5-reasons-democrats-could-beat-the-polls-and-hold-the-house/

Pew Research Center

pewresearch.org/pubs/1761/cell-phones-and-election-polls-2010-midterm-elections

How the cell phone effect helped Obama in 2008

youtube.com/watch?v=KMmvo73EZHc



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